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Israel Adesanya Breakdown
Adesanya comes into this battle with a lot of advantages over the considerably smaller Gastelum, who is giving up nearly 9 inches of reach. On the feet it’s the technical buildup strategy of Adesanya which can give him a significant edge. He’s got a far more varied arsenal with effective leg kicks a powerful choice against Kelvin, who will need to stay explosive to have any expectation closing the striking distance. Defensively Adesanya is solid, rolling with punches rather than committing himself to be vulnerable to counter shots. He’s a slow starter but turns up the volume when he’s a stronger feel for his opponent.
Gastelum has fast boxing mixtures and has utilized this to score some notable finishes. The quality of Kelvin’s resistance is questionable with lots of elderly fighters crumbling after getting captured by his superior cardio or speed. Gastelum includes a wrestling foundation but hasn’t made a focus of his UFC run. In this battle the size and takedown defense of Adesanya should signify this remains standing. Kelvin has restricted paths to success beyond landing a flush KO shot and given the reach and defense of Adesanya this does seem unlikely.
Since going around Middleweight Gastelum has was remarkable regardless of his height and reach. Weidman showed us that dimension may be a big factor in which the older fighters of this division were not able to press the advantage. Adesanya should have the ability to control this battle to stay standing, where he will have the ability to style on Gastelum from range. Round one can be close but past that it’s going to be just one way traffic. A late finish or comfortable decision appear equally likely.Dustin Poirier Breakdown
These men clash in what ought to be an extremely competitive struggle. Both guys favour their striking with Holloway’s volume fashion taking on Poirier’s technical fundamentals combined with astonishing power. The people appear to be over Holloway after his remarkable Ortega win and thus the bookie has him lined a significant favorite. While his boxing and cardio is unmatched at 145lb, it might be another story here. Poirier hits very hard, with much more energy than anything Max might have undergone in recent times. When there was a weakness Holloway’s game it’s that he takes too many blank shots, and there is no reason a crisp one from Poirier can not end the struggle.
This battle is very likely to start off at Poirier’s favour because he lands the impacting shots and uses his reach advantage. Holloway will need to endure until the later rounds in a bid to overwhelm Poirier with his cardio and pace. Dustin is no slouch in this region and is extremely hard to put away himself. We view this as an early stoppage for Poirier or close decision led to the judges. The center rounds will be pivotal in deciding the winner. In +180 the value is clear, back the more dangerous fighter who has firmly established himself on top of their toughest division in the sport.
Bet = Poirier in 2.80 (+180) chances. Risk 4 Units to acquire 7.2 Units.
Eryk Anders Breakdown
Rountree is a dangerous striker, equally fast and powerful, although his one dimensional gameplan makes him very beatable. Of most concern is his gas tank that’s quickly depleted as he spams power shots . Furthermore his grappling and wrestling is well below average. Rountree is coming off a big KO loss to Johnny Walker.
Anders is quite durable and has a fundamental but dangerous striking design himself. The key to success will be his exceptional pressure as he could blend in takedowns to put on Rountree out, negating his power. Rountree is stuck in the bottom of the ranks compared to Anders who lately had competitive match with the title challenger Santos. Look for him to survive a few early scares to then implement his wrestling and take over the fight beyond round one.
Bet = Anders at 1.54 (-185) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 1.62 Units.
Alan Jouban Breakdown
Jouban comes into this fight with far more expertise but also a 5??? reach drawback. Grant is 34 years of age and unlikely to make massive strides in his overall game. He doesn’t appear very impressive with sloppy method but does have big capability to land the kill shot. Jouban’s durability is a concern but he is the much superior fighter. Start looking for him to bring a smart game-plan to this one and utilize his arsenal to outside strike Grant. Jouban has sneaky power himself but a choice is also likely. .
Bet = Jouban in 2.0 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Max Griffin Breakdown
Imadaev is quite unproven and at only 24 decades old has been winning against poor resistance in the regional landscape. He looks to be getting a lot of respect from the odds makers, possibly due to his Russian background. This is a large step up against Max Griffin who’s a tough UFC veteran. He brings solid boxing and power and can blend from the strange takedown when required. Griffin’s question mark is surely his durability, as he gets rocked in the majority of fights, but he has a fighters attitude for coming back from adversity. Imadaev could be the real deal in which case this is very likely to be an action packed affair. Otherwise look for Griffin to ship the inexperienced newcomer. At slight underdog odds we like a wager on the more established fighter.
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